Thursday, January 23, 2014

Abe Warns Miscalculation Could Spark Sino-Japanese War

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe

Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told reporters in Davos that an unexpected event could spark a conflict with China, comparing tensions between the two countries to relations between Britain and Germany on the eve of World War I.

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Abe's comments echo André Pachter's 2013 end-of-year analysis. Click here to read it; and here, for his follow-up comment.

If the situation in Asia recalls the run-up to Word War I, the West's eagerness to embrace Iran brings to mind the appeasement of Nazi Germany in the years preceding World War II.

At the same time, the United States-Russia relationship recalls the Cold War, which ended more than two decades ago with the collapse of the Soviet Union.

So much for Fukuyama's free-market End of History nonsense. History didn't "end" with the Soviet/Communist crackup--it started to repeat, or, at the very least, as Mark Twain famously said, it began rhyming. (The Bush administration's unnecessary military intervention in Iraq, for example, can be considered a rhyming with, not a repetition of, the Kennedy and Johnson administrations' disastrous war in Vietnam. The Obama administration's effective support for the Muslim Brotherhood's takeover of Egypt seemed a repeat of--but thus far has merely rhymed with--the Carter administration's catastrophic complicity in Iran's Islamic Revolution. The Obama administration's covert meddling and threatened intervention in Syria nearly followed the Libyan script, etc.)

There has never been a time quite like this.

China hits back at Japan over World War I remarks by euronews-en